Avranches II vs Alençon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
28.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
FCR
2 - 1
AVR
85%
12%
3%
|
27 | 59 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
AVR
4 - 1
PAM
67%
18%
16%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
BAY
4 - 2
AVR
21%
20%
59%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
AVR
1 - 1
DIE
56%
21%
24%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
CHE
1 - 2
AVR
72%
16%
12%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Alençon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
ALE
1 - 2
PAM
75%
15%
11%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
DIE
0 - 0
ALE
45%
23%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ALE
2 - 0
QUE
54%
21%
25%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ALE
1 - 1
CAE
27%
20%
53%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
FCR
3 - 0
ALE
84%
12%
4%
|
26 | 60 | 34 | 0 |