Avranches II vs Dives analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
28.6%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
12º
11º
33
9º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
OIS
1 - 0
AVR
71%
18%
11%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
AVR
2 - 1
GON
43%
24%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 1
AVR
64%
20%
17%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
AVR
0 - 1
ALE
29%
24%
47%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AVR
1 - 3
SAI
42%
24%
34%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Dives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
AGC
3 - 0
DIV
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
DIV
0 - 2
OIS
21%
22%
56%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
GON
2 - 2
DIV
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
DIV
2 - 3
CHE
44%
23%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DIV
2 - 2
GRQ
49%
21%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |