Avranches II vs Cherbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
24.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SAI
1 - 0
AVR
60%
20%
19%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
AVR
3 - 1
AGC
29%
23%
48%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
AFV
4 - 0
AVR
61%
19%
19%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -2 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
AVR
0 - 0
RSP
59%
20%
21%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
LEH
1 - 1
AVR
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Cherbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
CHE
0 - 2
ALE
23%
22%
55%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
EVR
2 - 0
CHE
68%
19%
13%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CHE
2 - 3
OIS
21%
22%
57%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
QUE
2 - 1
CHE
40%
23%
36%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
AGC
3 - 2
CHE
53%
21%
26%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |