Avranches II vs Cherbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
72%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
AVR
3 - 1
QUE
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
AVR
3 - 1
QUE
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
BAY
3 - 2
AVR
18%
19%
63%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -2 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
GON
1 - 1
AVR
31%
22%
47%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
DIE
2 - 4
AVR
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Cherbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
CAE
4 - 1
CHE
14%
21%
65%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
SAI
1 - 2
CHE
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
CHE
2 - 0
NAN
45%
26%
28%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
ROM
0 - 1
CHE
46%
25%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
CHE
0 - 1
STA
44%
25%
30%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |