Avranches II vs Bayeux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
17.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
DIE
0 - 0
AVR
39%
23%
38%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
AVR
0 - 2
CHE
12%
16%
72%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
AVR
3 - 1
QUE
56%
21%
23%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
AVR
3 - 1
QUE
48%
23%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
BAY
3 - 2
AVR
18%
19%
63%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Bayeux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
CHE
3 - 0
BAY
87%
9%
4%
|
22 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
BAY
3 - 0
CAE
12%
16%
72%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +3 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
EVR
2 - 0
BAY
76%
15%
9%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
ROU
2 - 1
BAY
62%
20%
19%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
BAY
3 - 2
AVR
18%
19%
63%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |