Avondale vs St. Michaels AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avondale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SMC
0 - 0
AVO
27%
23%
50%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
COL
0 - 2
AVO
45%
23%
32%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2014 |
WAT
2 - 1
AVO
83%
13%
4%
|
15 | 69 | 54 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
AVO
1 - 2
SHE
28%
23%
49%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
BOH
1 - 0
AVO
82%
14%
4%
|
16 | 71 | 55 | 0 |
Matches
St. Michaels AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
SMC
0 - 0
AVO
27%
23%
50%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
SMC
4 - 2
UCC
43%
24%
33%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
UCC
0 - 0
SMC
49%
23%
28%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |