Avoine OCC vs Châteauneuf-sur-Loire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
8º
14º
11º
25
6º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
82% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
82% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 46 |
3º
|
62.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
62.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 34 |
7º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
46% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
51% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
11º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
13º
|
75.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avoine OCC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
CHA
0 - 0
AVO
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
AVO
1 - 0
SBM
49%
22%
29%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
MON
1 - 0
AVO
61%
23%
17%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
AVO
0 - 2
ROM
17%
22%
62%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 1
AVO
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Châteauneuf-sur-Loire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
CSL
2 - 0
VSF
48%
22%
30%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
TOU
2 - 2
CSL
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
SBM
6 - 0
CSL
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
CSL
2 - 2
UNI
20%
20%
60%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +2 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
VIE
4 - 2
CSL
77%
14%
9%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | -1 |