Avion vs Tinqueux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
7.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
SED
3 - 0
AVI
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
AVI
1 - 0
SAI
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2010 |
AVI
8 - 0
SCM
82%
12%
6%
|
40 | 17 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
BEA
2 - 0
AVI
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | -2 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
AVI
2 - 0
ARR
52%
24%
24%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Tinqueux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
SCT
0 - 4
REI
20%
22%
58%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
ARR
0 - 0
SCT
74%
17%
10%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
LIL
0 - 2
SCT
69%
19%
13%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
AUB
7 - 0
SCT
77%
15%
8%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
SEN
2 - 0
SCT
71%
18%
12%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |