Avion vs Ivry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
AVI
2 - 3
CAB
31%
27%
43%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PSG
1 - 1
AVI
48%
25%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
AVI
3 - 0
VIL
46%
26%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
VAL
5 - 0
AVI
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
AVI
3 - 0
ALF
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ivry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
ALF
0 - 0
IVR
24%
26%
50%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
IVR
4 - 1
DUN
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LIL
3 - 1
IVR
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
IVR
1 - 2
AUB
64%
20%
15%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
FCA
2 - 0
IVR
30%
26%
44%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | -1 |