Avion vs FC Calvi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
COM
3 - 0
AVI
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
AVI
1 - 2
AUX
50%
25%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
POI
0 - 0
AVI
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
AVI
0 - 1
COM
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
LEN
1 - 2
AVI
51%
24%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Calvi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
FCA
3 - 3
DUN
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
LIL
5 - 1
FCA
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
EFB
2 - 2
FCA
34%
25%
41%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
FCA
3 - 0
FRE
66%
19%
15%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
CON
1 - 1
FCA
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |