Avion vs CA Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
42.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PSG
1 - 1
AVI
48%
25%
26%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
AVI
3 - 0
VIL
46%
26%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
VAL
5 - 0
AVI
44%
26%
30%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
AVI
3 - 0
ALF
58%
22%
20%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
DRA
2 - 1
AVI
46%
26%
28%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
CA Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CAB
3 - 2
DUN
64%
21%
16%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
LIL
3 - 1
CAB
34%
27%
39%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
CAB
1 - 0
AUB
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
FCA
0 - 2
CAB
32%
26%
42%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
AUX
0 - 0
CAB
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |