Avilés Stadium vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.7%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
4.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avilés Stadium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
ARE
0 - 4
AVI
4%
10%
86%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
BOA
0 - 4
AVI
5%
11%
85%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
AVI
1 - 0
LUA
57%
21%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
POD
0 - 3
AVI
20%
19%
62%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
AVI
2 - 0
BOS
82%
12%
6%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
1 - 1
NAR
30%
26%
44%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
NAR
3 - 2
VAL
53%
24%
23%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BOA
2 - 2
NAR
28%
25%
47%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
NAR
4 - 4
TAP
23%
23%
54%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
CAR
0 - 0
NAR
32%
26%
42%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |