Avilés Stadium vs Lealtad Villaviciosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.6%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.9%
71.5%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
16.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
10º
16º
15º
43
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avilés Stadium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PRA
2 - 1
AVI
60%
22%
18%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AVI
0 - 2
COV
17%
23%
60%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LEN
3 - 0
AVI
57%
23%
20%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AVI
0 - 3
SPB
12%
23%
65%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
AVI
1 - 0
LLA
15%
23%
61%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Lealtad Villaviciosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
LEA
2 - 0
VAL
75%
18%
7%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
COL
0 - 3
LEA
26%
26%
48%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LEA
1 - 0
LUA
67%
21%
12%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
UDL
1 - 0
LEA
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LEA
1 - 0
TUI
63%
22%
15%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |