Avignon AS vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
16.8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avignon AS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
TRO
1 - 1
ASA
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1975 |
ASA
1 - 0
LIL
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1975 |
GIR
2 - 1
ASA
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1975 |
ASA
2 - 3
ASN
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1975 |
PSG
6 - 2
ASA
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1975 |
VAL
3 - 0
SOC
40%
29%
31%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1975 |
MON
3 - 1
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1975 |
VAL
3 - 1
BAS
38%
29%
33%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1975 |
STR
1 - 0
VAL
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1975 |
VAL
1 - 1
NAN
33%
29%
38%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |