Avignon AS vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avignon AS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
LIL
4 - 0
ASA
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
ASA
3 - 4
GIR
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1976 |
ASN
6 - 0
ASA
64%
21%
15%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
ASA
1 - 1
PSG
48%
25%
27%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
NIC
2 - 0
ASA
74%
16%
10%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1976 |
TRO
0 - 2
BAS
52%
25%
24%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
MON
1 - 1
TRO
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1976 |
TRO
3 - 0
SOC
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1976 |
STR
2 - 1
TRO
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1975 |
TRO
0 - 0
NAN
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |