Avignon AS vs Nîmes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avignon AS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
LYO
2 - 0
ASA
74%
15%
10%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1975 |
ASA
1 - 2
VAL
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
TRO
1 - 1
ASA
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1975 |
ASA
1 - 0
LIL
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1975 |
GIR
2 - 1
ASA
55%
24%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Nîmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1975 |
NÎM
2 - 0
ASS
33%
27%
40%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1975 |
MET
4 - 3
NÎM
58%
23%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1975 |
NÎM
0 - 3
REI
57%
23%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
LEN
1 - 1
NÎM
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1975 |
NÎM
0 - 2
SOC
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |