Avignon AS vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
22.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avignon AS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1975 |
PSG
6 - 2
ASA
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1975 |
ASA
1 - 5
NIC
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 1975 |
MAR
3 - 1
ASA
70%
18%
13%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 1975 |
ASN
1 - 4
LYO
48%
26%
27%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1975 |
SOC
3 - 0
ASN
50%
26%
24%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 1975 |
ASN
3 - 3
VAL
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1974 |
ASN
3 - 1
LYO
45%
27%
29%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1974 |
SED
2 - 3
ASN
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |