Segunda Categoría - Ecuador Semi-finals
Global 0-0
Aviced vs Vargas Torres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
34.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aviced
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CSV
0 - 0
AVI
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
AVI
2 - 0
CDA
46%
25%
29%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
CDA
1 - 1
AVI
49%
24%
28%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
AVI
3 - 0
LDU
20%
24%
56%
|
46 | 63 | 17 | +2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LDU
2 - 1
AVI
70%
19%
11%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Vargas Torres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CSV
0 - 0
AVI
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
CSV
2 - 0
GRE
21%
27%
52%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
GRE
2 - 2
CSV
65%
22%
13%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CSV
3 - 0
JUV
41%
25%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
JUV
2 - 1
CSV
45%
25%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |