Aviación vs CD Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
54.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aviación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
ARY
3 - 0
AVC
71%
18%
11%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ALC
4 - 0
AVC
77%
15%
8%
|
12 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
AVC
1 - 1
GRI
24%
25%
52%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
VAL
3 - 0
AVC
74%
16%
9%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
AVC
0 - 0
COL
23%
24%
53%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
CD Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CDF
1 - 2
ARG
31%
25%
44%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
ARY
0 - 0
CDF
46%
25%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
CDF
1 - 1
COL
36%
25%
39%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ALC
0 - 3
CDF
67%
19%
14%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
CDF
1 - 0
GRI
43%
25%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |