Avia Świdnik vs Wiązownica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.9%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
9%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
4.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
1º
8º
2º
40
11º
18º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
48 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
40 | 40 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
39 | 39 |
15º
|
89% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
89% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avia Świdnik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CRA
2 - 3
ASW
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ASW
1 - 1
LUB
43%
25%
33%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
STA
0 - 2
ASW
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
ASW
1 - 1
ORP
57%
23%
21%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SOK
0 - 4
ASW
32%
28%
40%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Wiązownica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
KSW
2 - 2
MSK
20%
20%
61%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
WIS
4 - 3
KSW
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
KSW
1 - 3
WIE
15%
18%
68%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
CHE
4 - 1
KSW
79%
13%
8%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KSW
1 - 2
UTA
38%
22%
40%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |