Avezzano vs Città di Castello analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
8.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avezzano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ARZ
2 - 1
AVE
64%
22%
15%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 1
OST
32%
26%
42%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
LAN
1 - 0
AVE
38%
23%
39%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
AVE
0 - 2
LAQ
25%
25%
51%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 5
PES
3%
8%
90%
|
37 | 69 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Città di Castello
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SSD
2 - 1
SAN
18%
24%
58%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
SSD
1 - 1
SAS
21%
24%
55%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
FOL
0 - 3
SSD
42%
26%
32%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SSD
0 - 1
LAN
18%
21%
61%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
ARZ
5 - 0
SSD
81%
14%
5%
|
20 | 45 | 25 | 0 |