Avenir Beggen vs Sporting Mertzig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.8%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
+29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
2º
4º
2º
34
1º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
84 | 84 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
57 | 57 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
57 | 57 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 48 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 28 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 22 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avenir Beggen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
AVE
1 - 2
FFN
65%
19%
16%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
HOS
1 - 3
AVE
18%
23%
59%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
AVE
4 - 1
PRE
85%
10%
5%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 0
AVE
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
ERP
3 - 1
AVE
12%
20%
68%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | -3 |
Matches
Sporting Mertzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
COL
2 - 2
MER
6%
12%
81%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
MER
1 - 7
LOR
10%
16%
75%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
YBD
4 - 1
MER
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2022 |
FEU
5 - 0
MER
62%
20%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
MER
1 - 0
ERP
77%
13%
9%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |