Avellino U19 vs Spezia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
65.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7%
0-5
2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+100%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
14º
13º
37
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
NAP
5 - 1
AVE
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PES
3 - 2
AVE
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AVE
2 - 1
ASC
16%
19%
65%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | +4 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 3
PIS
16%
19%
65%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CCS
3 - 0
AVE
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 31 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
FRO
2 - 1
SPE
49%
23%
28%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
ASS
3 - 1
SPE
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SPE
0 - 2
CCS
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CRO
0 - 4
SPE
15%
19%
66%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SPE
1 - 2
BEN
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |