Avellino U19 vs Crotone U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
52.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+100%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
4º
14º
13º
27
3º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 31 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
27 | 27 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
PER
2 - 1
AVE
77%
13%
10%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 3
SPE
17%
18%
66%
|
17 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
NAP
5 - 1
AVE
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PES
3 - 2
AVE
74%
15%
11%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AVE
2 - 1
ASC
16%
19%
65%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | +4 |
Matches
Crotone U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
CRO
2 - 1
CCS
24%
23%
53%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
TER
4 - 1
CRO
53%
22%
26%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CRO
1 - 2
PAL
35%
23%
41%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
BAR
2 - 3
CRO
62%
18%
20%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
CRO
0 - 4
SPE
15%
19%
66%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |