Aveley vs Wroxham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
6.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
THA
3 - 3
AVE
44%
24%
33%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
AVE
3 - 0
ROM
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2016 |
AVE
0 - 1
HOR
29%
24%
47%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
PHO
6 - 2
AVE
30%
21%
49%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
AVE
5 - 2
WAR
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Wroxham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
WRO
0 - 2
BRI
16%
22%
63%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
THU
1 - 0
WRO
85%
11%
4%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
DEE
2 - 1
WRO
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2016 |
DER
2 - 1
WRO
78%
15%
7%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
WRO
0 - 2
CHE
16%
20%
64%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | -1 |