Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
55.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
WEA
5 - 2
AVE
75%
16%
8%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 3
TOO
27%
24%
50%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
MET
0 - 0
AVE
73%
17%
10%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
AVE
2 - 4
CAN
17%
23%
60%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -2 |
| 09 Jan. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 1
CAR
20%
24%
56%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2012 |
LEA
2 - 2
WIN
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
WIN
0 - 2
KIN
38%
25%
37%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 3
WIN
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
WIN
1 - 0
LEA
38%
24%
39%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
BIL
2 - 0
WIN
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |