Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
37.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2007 |
AVE
1 - 0
GRE
29%
27%
44%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
YEL
3 - 0
AVE
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
BUR
3 - 0
AVE
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
AVE
0 - 2
WHI
58%
23%
20%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2007 |
GRE
2 - 1
AVE
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
EDT
2 - 1
WIN
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
WIN
1 - 1
BUR
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
ARL
2 - 1
WIN
28%
28%
44%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
WIN
2 - 1
GRE
46%
25%
29%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
GRE
3 - 0
WIN
46%
26%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |