Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
32.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2007 |
ENF
3 - 1
AVE
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
AVE
0 - 0
HAR
27%
29%
44%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2007 |
RED
2 - 1
AVE
33%
26%
40%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
ARL
1 - 1
AVE
36%
27%
37%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2007 |
AVE
1 - 1
MAL
40%
29%
32%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
WIN
1 - 2
WAL
41%
26%
33%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2007 |
TIL
2 - 2
WIN
35%
26%
40%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
MAL
1 - 0
WIN
46%
27%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2007 |
HOR
1 - 1
WIN
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
WIN
1 - 4
WAL
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |