Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
37.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
GRE
2 - 2
AVE
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 1
AVE
48%
23%
29%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
AVE
3 - 0
COR
23%
25%
52%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +4 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
HAR
2 - 2
AVE
59%
22%
20%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
AVE
0 - 2
BOR
17%
23%
61%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
WIN
3 - 2
DAR
52%
23%
25%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
BOR
1 - 2
WIN
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
WIN
4 - 2
WAL
43%
25%
33%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
WIN
0 - 3
COR
37%
26%
38%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
ARL
1 - 1
WIN
51%
24%
25%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |