Aveley vs Wingate & Finchley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
23.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
AVE
0 - 1
WIV
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
BOR
1 - 2
AVE
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2004 |
ARL
3 - 2
AVE
36%
25%
40%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
AVE
1 - 2
BAR
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
LEI
0 - 1
AVE
47%
24%
30%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Wingate & Finchley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2004 |
WIN
1 - 1
ARL
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
EAS
1 - 0
WIN
68%
18%
14%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
WIN
0 - 2
FAF
21%
23%
56%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2004 |
ERI
1 - 2
WIN
32%
24%
45%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
WIN
1 - 2
BOR
26%
24%
50%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |