Aveley vs Tooting and Mitcham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
49.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
MET
0 - 0
AVE
73%
17%
10%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
AVE
2 - 4
CAN
17%
23%
60%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | -2 |
| 09 Jan. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 1
CAR
20%
24%
56%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
HAS
2 - 1
AVE
51%
24%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
CON
3 - 0
AVE
73%
17%
10%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Tooting and Mitcham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
TOO
1 - 3
HAR
40%
24%
37%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
TOO
4 - 2
BIL
22%
25%
53%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | +6 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
KIN
2 - 1
TOO
74%
16%
10%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
TOO
1 - 4
LEA
32%
24%
45%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -2 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
TOO
4 - 3
CAR
24%
24%
53%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +3 |