Aveley vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
25.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-45%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
NOR
1 - 0
AVE
44%
22%
34%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
BRI
3 - 1
AVE
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 1
BOW
39%
22%
39%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
WAR
2 - 0
AVE
25%
23%
52%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
AVE
3 - 2
WAL
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2017 |
BOW
4 - 0
TIL
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
TIL
1 - 2
NOR
45%
23%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
THU
6 - 1
TIL
65%
19%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
HOR
1 - 1
TIL
61%
22%
17%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
TIL
1 - 1
HEY
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |