Aveley vs Tilbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
55.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
HAR
3 - 4
AVE
76%
16%
9%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
AVE
2 - 2
MAL
20%
23%
57%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 7
HEN
14%
20%
65%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 0
AVE
71%
19%
11%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 2
BUR
14%
21%
65%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Tilbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
TIL
6 - 1
WAR
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
TIL
2 - 2
POT
65%
20%
16%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
BRE
1 - 1
TIL
32%
25%
43%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
TIL
3 - 4
NEE
46%
23%
31%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
THA
3 - 4
TIL
27%
24%
49%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | -1 |