Aveley vs Harrow Borough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
23.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
TOO
1 - 0
AVE
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
AVE
1 - 3
CAN
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
AVE
0 - 3
TON
41%
25%
35%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
CAM
1 - 0
AVE
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
MAI
1 - 1
AVE
18%
23%
59%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Harrow Borough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
HAR
0 - 2
CHE
18%
22%
61%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
HAR
0 - 2
CON
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
HAR
0 - 1
HEN
34%
23%
43%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
HAR
1 - 2
AVE
40%
24%
36%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
HAS
2 - 0
HAR
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |