Aveley vs Folkestone Invicta analysis

Aveley Folkestone Invicta
47 ELO 46
0.1% Tilt 1.7%
7545º General ELO ranking 7520º
305º Country ELO ranking 304º
ELO win probability
39.1%
Aveley
24.2%
Draw
36.7%
Folkestone Invicta

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
Aveley
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
36.7%
Win probability
Folkestone Invicta
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Aveley
-8%
+8%
Folkestone Invicta

Points and table prediction

Aveley
Their league position
Folkestone Invicta
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
76
60
17º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Bishops Stortford
86
86
100%
AFC Hornchurch
82
82
100%
Canvey Island
82
82
100%
Aveley
76
76
100%
Cray Wanderers
74
74
100%
Lewes
72
72
100%
Enfield Town
70
70
100%
Horsham
70
70
100%
Hastings United
69
69
100%
Billericay Town
10º
63
63
10º
100%
Carshalton Athletic
11º
62
62
11º
100%
Folkestone Invicta
12º
60
60
12º
100%
Haringey Borough
14º
51
51
13º
0%
Potters Bar Town
13º
51
51
14º
0%
Bognor Regis Town
15º
50
50
15º
100%
Wingate & Finchley
16º
49
49
16º
100%
Margate
17º
45
45
17º
100%
Kingstonian
18º
40
40
18º
100%
Bowers and Pitsea
19º
34
34
19º
100%
Herne Bay
20º
34
34
20º
100%
Corinthian-Casuals
21º
27
27
21º
100%
Brightlingsea Regent
22º
25
25
22º
100%
Expected probabilities
Aveley
Folkestone Invicta
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Aveley
Folkestone Invicta
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Aveley
Aveley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2023
AVE
Aveley
0 - 0
Carshalton Athletic
CAR
64%
21%
15%
45 38 7 0
25 Feb. 2023
HER
Herne Bay
1 - 2
Aveley
AVE
14%
19%
68%
45 27 18 0
18 Feb. 2023
AVE
Aveley
2 - 0
Lewes
LEW
45%
24%
32%
45 45 0 0
14 Feb. 2023
POT
Potters Bar Town
0 - 2
Aveley
AVE
21%
24%
56%
45 35 10 0
11 Feb. 2023
KIN
Kingstonian
0 - 1
Aveley
AVE
18%
20%
63%
44 30 14 +1

Matches

Folkestone Invicta
Folkestone Invicta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2023
FOL
Folkestone Invicta
3 - 0
Bishops Stortford
BIS
29%
26%
46%
43 51 8 0
25 Feb. 2023
POT
Potters Bar Town
0 - 5
Folkestone Invicta
FOL
18%
19%
63%
42 31 11 +1
21 Feb. 2023
FOL
Folkestone Invicta
3 - 0
Enfield Town
ENF
29%
23%
48%
41 46 5 +1
18 Feb. 2023
FOL
Folkestone Invicta
3 - 2
Corinthian-Casuals
COR
80%
13%
7%
41 26 15 0
15 Feb. 2023
CRA
Cray Wanderers
0 - 0
Folkestone Invicta
FOL
53%
22%
26%
41 42 1 0