Aveley vs Flackwell Heath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
ENF
3 - 2
AVE
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2006 |
AVE
0 - 1
HOR
17%
23%
60%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
WIN
1 - 0
AVE
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
MAL
2 - 0
AVE
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
AVE
3 - 1
WAL
69%
19%
12%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Flackwell Heath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
FLA
0 - 0
RED
48%
24%
28%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2006 |
WAL
2 - 3
FLA
61%
20%
19%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
FLA
0 - 2
GRE
33%
25%
42%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2006 |
FLA
1 - 2
HAR
30%
25%
45%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
CAN
4 - 0
FLA
79%
15%
7%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |