Aveley vs Dartford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
47.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
AVE
2 - 5
CAR
46%
24%
30%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
AVE
0 - 1
SUT
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
MAI
4 - 2
AVE
26%
25%
49%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
TOO
1 - 2
AVE
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
AVE
2 - 2
WEA
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Dartford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
SIT
0 - 1
DAR
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
DAR
2 - 0
TON
56%
22%
22%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
DAR
2 - 0
HAR
72%
17%
11%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
SUT
0 - 3
DAR
33%
26%
42%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 4
DAR
29%
26%
46%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |