Aveley vs Cray Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
EAS
2 - 3
AVE
48%
24%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
AVE
1 - 1
MAL
73%
18%
10%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
LFC
0 - 2
AVE
21%
24%
55%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
AVE
2 - 0
RED
63%
22%
15%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
AVE
1 - 3
BRE
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cray Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
CRA
1 - 0
MET
52%
23%
24%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2009 |
CRA
1 - 0
WOR
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
CRA
3 - 0
TOW
75%
15%
10%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
CRO
1 - 0
CRA
12%
18%
70%
|
44 | 11 | 33 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
CRA
3 - 0
WAL
77%
15%
8%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |