Aveley vs Canvey Island analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
60.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 1
CAR
20%
24%
56%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
HAS
2 - 1
AVE
51%
24%
25%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
CON
3 - 0
AVE
73%
17%
10%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
AVE
1 - 3
MAR
20%
24%
56%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -2 |
| 27 Dec. 2011 |
AVE
0 - 3
EAS
16%
21%
63%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
1 - 2
CRA
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
EAS
2 - 1
CAN
51%
24%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
CAN
4 - 1
HOR
25%
25%
50%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +2 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
CAN
0 - 2
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
BUR
2 - 0
CAN
48%
24%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |