Aveley vs Beaconsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
10.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
CTF
1 - 0
AVE
19%
20%
61%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
AVE
4 - 2
WHI
88%
9%
3%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
AVE
0 - 3
TIL
68%
17%
15%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
HAN
1 - 2
AVE
35%
22%
43%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
CRA
2 - 0
AVE
29%
22%
49%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
BEA
1 - 4
HAR
46%
23%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FAR
4 - 1
BEA
52%
23%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
BEA
0 - 0
HAY
13%
17%
70%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
HAR
1 - 1
BEA
70%
18%
12%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
SAL
1 - 0
BEA
80%
13%
8%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |