Aveley vs Beaconsfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
47.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
BUR
1 - 2
AVE
35%
25%
41%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
AVE
1 - 0
DUN
71%
18%
12%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
AVE
2 - 1
BAS
71%
16%
13%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
AVE
2 - 1
BAS
59%
19%
22%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
MAL
0 - 1
AVE
63%
19%
18%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Beaconsfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2018 |
BEA
1 - 0
SWI
68%
18%
15%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
BEA
2 - 2
FRO
76%
14%
10%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
BEA
3 - 1
KEM
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
KEM
1 - 1
BEA
25%
23%
52%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
MER
0 - 1
BEA
34%
22%
44%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |