Aveley vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
10.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
HEY
1 - 2
AVE
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
CTF
1 - 2
AVE
56%
21%
23%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
AVE
1 - 3
TIL
59%
20%
21%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
BRE
4 - 4
AVE
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
AVE
3 - 0
MIL
84%
11%
6%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
YEL
1 - 3
ROM
82%
12%
6%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
YEL
0 - 3
SOH
63%
19%
18%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
DER
3 - 0
YEL
45%
23%
32%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
YEL
3 - 1
WHI
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
GRA
3 - 2
YEL
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |