Aveley vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
27.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 1
GRA
47%
23%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2017 |
WHI
1 - 0
AVE
52%
22%
26%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2017 |
AVE
3 - 1
HER
47%
22%
31%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
AVE
2 - 2
DER
33%
24%
43%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2017 |
AVE
1 - 1
NOR
68%
17%
15%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2017 |
MIL
0 - 1
YEL
36%
22%
42%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
YEL
1 - 4
DER
42%
24%
35%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2017 |
YEL
1 - 1
HER
57%
20%
23%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
WHI
4 - 0
YEL
42%
24%
35%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
YEL
1 - 2
HAR
37%
25%
39%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |