Aveley vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
36.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-49%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
WAR
1 - 4
AVE
18%
22%
60%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
AVE
3 - 0
BRE
31%
25%
44%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +3 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 2
AVE
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
WAL
1 - 2
AVE
64%
20%
17%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
CHE
4 - 2
AVE
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
YEL
3 - 6
ROM
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
WAL
2 - 2
YEL
21%
22%
57%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
YEL
1 - 1
POT
57%
22%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
TIL
1 - 1
YEL
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
ILF
1 - 1
YEL
14%
20%
66%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | -1 |