Avarta vs Thisted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
46.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avarta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
KOL
3 - 1
AVA
49%
23%
27%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
AVA
2 - 1
HOL
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
B93
0 - 0
AVA
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
AVA
1 - 1
FRE
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
HVI
0 - 0
AVA
48%
25%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Thisted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
THI
1 - 1
DAL
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
HOB
3 - 1
THI
50%
23%
27%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
VEN
1 - 4
THI
50%
24%
26%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
THI
1 - 1
BRA
49%
25%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
ODD
1 - 3
THI
22%
23%
55%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | +1 |