Avarta vs Odder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
1º
4º
3º
14
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
32 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
23 | 21 |
3º
|
60.5% | |
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
60.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 15 |
5º
|
64% | |
|
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
61% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
71.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
60.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
39.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avarta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
FRE
2 - 2
AVA
35%
25%
40%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
AVA
3 - 0
RIN
61%
21%
18%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VAN
0 - 0
AVA
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ISH
5 - 2
AVA
9%
14%
77%
|
47 | 9 | 38 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
BFR
3 - 1
AVA
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Odder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ODD
0 - 0
VEJ
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
HOL
2 - 2
ODD
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VIB
1 - 3
ODD
26%
20%
54%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
ODD
3 - 3
IFL
41%
23%
36%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ODD
2 - 4
SIK
19%
21%
59%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |