AG Caennaise vs FC Flérien analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
28.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
13º
10º
33
4º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AG Caennaise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CAE
1 - 2
AGC
47%
23%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
AGC
3 - 1
SAI
39%
23%
38%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
DIV
1 - 2
AGC
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
AGC
2 - 1
CAE
21%
21%
58%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
ALE
3 - 1
AGC
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Flérien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 1
OIS
59%
20%
21%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VHO
1 - 1
FLE
53%
20%
26%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FLE
2 - 0
LEH
43%
23%
34%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DIE
3 - 2
FLE
53%
22%
25%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FLE
2 - 1
LMU
52%
22%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |