AG Caennaise vs Bastia II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.3%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.8%
47.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
1º
14º
14º
34
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 44 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
6º
|
67% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
39% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 37 |
9º
|
59% | |
|
|
10º
|
34 | 35 |
10º
|
87% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 31 |
11º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
4 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AG Caennaise
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
BRE
2 - 1
AGC
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
AGC
1 - 2
CAE
43%
22%
35%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
AJA
5 - 1
AGC
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
AGC
3 - 4
OIS
35%
24%
41%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
ESA
3 - 0
AGC
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
BAS
2 - 1
CAE
28%
22%
50%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
DIV
4 - 1
BAS
56%
20%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BAS
1 - 0
GRQ
67%
18%
15%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
BAS
1 - 2
BRE
44%
24%
33%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAE
2 - 2
BAS
32%
23%
45%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |