Avangard Kursk vs FC Saturn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
28.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+47%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
4º
9º
6º
20
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
35 | 25 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 23 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 20 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
46 | 19 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
34 | 17 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 17 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 14 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 9 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
20 | 9 |
12º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avangard Kursk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
AVA
1 - 1
FDV
40%
26%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 1
SOK
27%
27%
46%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
KAL
2 - 1
AVA
31%
26%
44%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
AVA
1 - 0
FKK
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 0
MET
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Saturn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SAT
3 - 1
MET
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
DIN
0 - 1
SAT
68%
21%
11%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
FKS
1 - 1
SAT
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ZVE
2 - 1
SAT
42%
25%
34%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
SAT
3 - 2
MAS
73%
16%
11%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |