Avangard Kursk Ii vs Lokomotiv Liski analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
74.9%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.3%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
6º
12º
13º
49
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
49 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 16 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 14 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avangard Kursk Ii
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
YEL
5 - 1
AVA
81%
12%
7%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
AVA
2 - 5
MET
7%
13%
80%
|
7 | 46 | 39 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FKK
0 - 0
AVA
45%
21%
34%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AVA
1 - 2
ROT
9%
15%
76%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
AVA
0 - 2
DIN
12%
15%
73%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Liski
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
LOK
1 - 1
MET
65%
19%
17%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
MET
0 - 0
LOK
30%
24%
46%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ROT
0 - 0
LOK
4%
13%
83%
|
52 | 19 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LOK
4 - 0
MET
89%
8%
3%
|
52 | 7 | 45 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
ATO
0 - 0
LOK
38%
23%
39%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |